TITLE: GCN CIRCULAR NUMBER: 38737 SUBJECT: LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA S241231bg: Identification of a GW compact binary merger candidate DATE: 24/12/31 07:07:06 GMT FROM: Jyotirmaya Mohanta at University of Tsukuba s2430161@u.tsukuba.ac.jp

The LIGO Scientific Collaboration, the Virgo Collaboration, and the KAGRA Collaboration report:

We identified the compact binary merger candidate S241231bg during real-time processing of data from LIGO Hanford Observatory (H1), LIGO Livingston Observatory (L1), and Virgo Observatory (V1) at 2024-12-31 05:41:33.606 UTC (GPS time: 1419658911.606). The candidate was found by the CWB [1], cWB BBH [2], GstLAL [3], MBTA [4], MLy [5], PyCBC Live [6], and SPIIR [7] analysis pipelines.

S241231bg is an event of interest because its false alarm rate, as estimated by the online analysis, is 3.2e-10 Hz, or about one in 1e2 years. The event's properties can be found at this URL:

https://gracedb.ligo.org/superevents/S241231bg

After parameter estimation by RapidPE-RIFT [8], the classification of the GW signal, in order of descending probability, is BBH (>99%), Terrestrial (<1%), NSBH (<1%), or BNS (<1%).

Assuming the candidate is astrophysical in origin, the probability that the lighter compact object is consistent with a neutron star mass (HasNS) is <1%. [9] Using the masses and spins inferred from the signal, the probability of matter outside the final compact object (HasRemnant) is <1%. [9] Both HasNS and HasRemnant consider the support of several neutron star equations of state. The probability that either of the binary components lies between 3 and 5 solar masses (HasMassGap) is 7%.

Two sky maps are available at this time and can be retrieved from the GraceDB event page: * bayestar.multiorder.fits,0, an initial localization generated by BAYESTAR [10], distributed via GCN notice about 29 seconds after the candidate event time. * bayestar.multiorder.fits,1, an initial localization generated by BAYESTAR [10], distributed via GCN notice about 5 minutes after the candidate event time.

The preferred sky map at this time is bayestar.multiorder.fits,1. For the bayestar.multiorder.fits,1 sky map, the 90% credible region is 217 deg2. Marginalized over the whole sky, the a posteriori luminosity distance estimate is 802 +/- 184 Mpc (a posteriori mean +/- standard deviation).

For further information about analysis methodology and the contents of this alert, refer to the LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Public Alerts User Guide https://emfollow.docs.ligo.org/.

[1] Klimenko et al. PRD 93, 042004 (2016) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.93.042004 [2] T. Mishra et al. PRD 105, 083018 (2022) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.105.083018 [3] Tsukada et al. PRD 108, 043004 (2023) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.108.043004 and Ewing et al. (2023) arXiv:2305.05625 [4] Aubin et al. CQG 38, 095004 (2021) doi:10.1088/1361-6382/abe913 [5] Skliris et al. (2020) arXiv:2009.14611 [6] Dal Canton et al. ApJ 923, 254 (2021) doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ac2f9a [7] Chu et al. PRD 105, 024023 (2022) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.105.024023 [8] Rose et al. (2022) arXiv:2201.05263 and Pankow et al. PRD 92, 023002 (2015) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.92.023002 [9] Chatterjee et al. ApJ 896, 54 (2020) doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab8dbe [10] Singer & Price PRD 93, 024013 (2016) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.93.024013

View this GCN Circular online at https://gcn.nasa.gov/circulars/38737. --- To unsubscribe, open this link in a web browser: https://gcn.nasa.gov/unsubscribe/eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJlbWFpbCI6InZzbmV0LW...