TITLE: GCN CIRCULAR NUMBER: 41607 SUBJECT: LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA S250830bp: Updated Sky localization, EM Bright Classification, and Source Classification DATE: 25/08/30 12:55:43 GMT FROM: Colm Talbot at University of Chicago talbotcolm@gmail.com
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration, the Virgo Collaboration, and the KAGRA Collaboration report:
We have conducted further analysis of the LIGO Hanford Observatory (H1), LIGO Livingston Observatory (L1), and Virgo Observatory (V1) data around the time of the compact binary merger (CBC) candidate S250830bp (GCN Circular 41606). Parameter estimation has been performed using Bilby [1] and a new sky map, Bilby.multiorder.fits,0, distributed via GCN and SCiMMA notices, is available for retrieval from the GraceDB event page:
https://gracedb.ligo.org/superevents/S250830bp
Assuming the candidate is astrophysical, the updated classification of the GW signal, in order of descending probability, is BBH (>99%), Terrestrial (<1%), BNS (<1%), or NSBH (<1%).
Based on posterior support from parameter estimation [1], under the assumption that the candidate S250830bp is astrophysical in origin, the probability that at least one of the compact objects is consistent with a neutron star mass above one solar mass (HasNS) is <1%. [2] Using the masses and spins inferred from the signal, the probability of matter outside the final compact object (HasRemnant) is <1%. [2] HasRemnant is assumed to be zero when the heavier component mass is below 1 solar mass. Both HasNS and HasRemnant consider the support of several neutron star equations of state for maximum neutron star mass. The probability that either of the binary components lies between 3 and 5 solar masses (HasMassGap) is <1%. The probability that the lighter compact object is below 1 solar mass (HasSSM) is <1%.
For the Bilby.multiorder.fits,0 sky map, the 90% credible region is well fit by an ellipse with an area of 4 deg2 described by the following DS9 region (right ascension, declination, semi-major axis, semi-minor axis, position angle of the semi-minor axis): icrs; ellipse(21h43m, -77d36m, 1.36d, 0.88d, 15.49d) Marginalized over the whole sky, the a posteriori luminosity distance estimate is 427 +/- 69 Mpc (a posteriori mean +/- standard deviation).
For further information about analysis methodology and the contents of this alert, refer to the LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Public Alerts User Guide https://emfollow.docs.ligo.org/.
[1] Ashton et al. ApJS 241, 27 (2019) doi:10.3847/1538-4365/ab06fc and Morisaki et al. PRD 108, 123040 (2023) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.108.123040 [2] Chatterjee et al. ApJ 896, 54 (2020) doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab8dbe
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